Surf the records, but watch out for the elections!

9:42 p.m.
3
minutes of reading by
Micah A.

Stock markets have had an impressive first half of 2024, breaking record after record. However, uncertainty looms ahead of crucial elections in France and the United States, raising questions about the economic future. Stock market investors should remain vigilant for potential political shocks that could disrupt these remarkable gains.

Stock market, growth and electoral uncertainties

In 2024, the stock market growth has been meteoric. Clues such as the US S&P 500 has exceeded its peaks more than 30 times.

This momentum is explained by the economic resilienceparticularly in the United States, and robust external demand in Europe, helped by unexpected Chinese growthexplain Capital.

THE The American unemployment rate remains historically low, at 4%, reflecting a strong economy despite high interest rates.

However, the upcoming elections in France and the United States introduce elements of uncertainty.

In France, political surprises, such as the dissolution of the National Assembly, have already shown their capacity to shake the CAC 40.

In the USA, 2024 presidential election could change economic and regulatory policiescreating risks for stock market investors.

Persistent inflation and international conflicts, notably in Ukraine and Gaza, add an additional level of potential volatility.

Artificial intelligence and stock market dynamics

Artificial Intelligence (AI) keep playing a central role in the performance of stock markets. Technology companies, particularly those specializing in AI, have seen their valuations skyrocket.

Nvidia, the leader in chips for generative AI, briefly overtook Apple and Microsoft in terms of market capitalization. The tech giants, nicknamed The Magnificent Seven, have contributed significantly to the rise in the S&P 500with spectacular increases for Nvidia, Meta, Amazon and Alphabet.

However, this concentration in a single sector raises questions. If massive investments in AI do not translate sufficient profitabilitystock market dynamics could suffer.

Possible regulations from competition authorities could also weigh on these companies.

At the same time, assets such as bitcoin (BTC), gold and commodities like Copper and cocoa hit record highsdemonstrating the diversity of opportunities but also the risks of the financial markets.

Faced with these multiple challenges and opportunities, stock market investors must navigate cautiously, keeping an eye on upcoming political and economic developments.

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Micah A.

The blockchain and crypto revolution is underway! And the day when the impacts will be felt on the most vulnerable economy in this world, against all hope, I will say that I had something to do with it

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