How big was Donald Trump's 2024 election victory? | Donald Trump News

Donald Trump won both the electoral college and the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election. In fact, Trump this year became the second Republican to win the popular vote since 1988.

The vast majority of counties have seen their margins move in Trump's direction, both in places where Republicans are historically successful and in places where Democrats generally have an advantage.

At the same time, Trump's margins, both in terms of raw votes and percentages, were small by historical standards, even over the past quarter century, when close elections were the rule, including recounts. Florida elections in 2000 and Trump's two previous elections in 2016 and 2020.

Trump's victory came without much of a boost to falling Republicans. The current narrow margin in the House of Representatives is set to continue, and Democrats have won four Senate elections in key battleground states, even though Vice President Kamala Harris lost those states to Trump.

On his victory party, Trump declared that America had given us a powerful and unprecedented mandate.

But Wayne Steger, a political scientist at DePaul University, said the election sent mixed signals.

Inflation, immigration, some evidence of backlash against Democrats on identity politics, crime, education and public sentiment moving in a conservative direction all suggest a Republican victory, he said.

Still, I tend to view this as a close election in which there was enough anti-democratic sentiment to prevail.

Here's how Trump's victory compares to other recent presidential elections:

Reasons why Trump calls it a big victory

Trump won all seven of this year's battleground states, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Harris, on the other hand, fared worse in these states than President Joe Biden did four years earlier.

Trump's margins of victory in these seven states were easily wider than the margins of the seven closest states in the 2020 Trump-Biden election and any close presidential election this century.

Including votes counted through November 19, Trump's collective margin in the seven battleground states this year was about 760,000. For comparison, the 2000 election between George W. Bush and Al Gore, decided by the Supreme Court after a week-long recount in Florida, produced collective margins of about 46,000 in the seven closest states, or about a sixteenth more than in 2024.

Trump also performed well by historical standards for someone who ran against the party occupying the White House. Since 1932, only six other out-of-power party candidates have received a share of the vote as large as Trump's, close to 50 percent. Others with a higher percentage were Franklin Roosevelt in 1932, Dwight Eisenhower in 1952, Jimmy Carter in 1976, Ronald Reagan in 1980, Barack Obama in 2008 and Biden in 2020.

Trump's margin of victory in the Electoral College, 312 of 538, was nowhere near the landslide victories of Lyndon Johnson in 1964, Richard Nixon in 1972 or Reagan in 1984. But it was larger than four of the seven elections of this century, including the four years of Biden. earlier.

Where Trump's victory seems historically small

However, other indicators show that Trump's victory was narrow.

Measured by both vote percentages and raw votes, Trump's margin of victory is modest, even compared to other close elections this century.

For votes counted through November 20, Trump's margin over Harris was 1.62 percent. That's smaller than any winner since Bush in 2000, when the margin was 0.51 percent. Going back further, only John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Nixon in 1968 won the popular vote by smaller margins, 0.17 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively.

Using raw votes, Trump's margin was also smaller than in any election dating back to 2000. At around 2.5 million, it was the fifth smallest popular vote margin since 1960.

Both in percentage terms and in raw votes, Trump's margin is on track to be less than half of what Biden achieved four years earlier.

At the same time, there is ample evidence that Trump's strong performance at the top of the ticket did not greatly favor candidates at the bottom of the election.

Of the seven battleground states, five also held Senate elections and one held a gubernatorial race. The Republican candidate won the Senate race in Pennsylvania, but the Democrat won the Senate elections in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, as well as the gubernatorial race in North Carolina. In North Carolina, Democrats also won elections for lieutenant governor, attorney general, secretary of state and superintendent of public instruction and were narrowly ahead in a race for the Supreme Court of the state.

As the latest election is called, the U.S. House of Representatives is on track to be at or near where it was from the previous two years, which would produce a narrow Republican margin by historical standards . In state legislatures, Republicans have gained only modestly in terms of control of the chamber, while Democrats have made inroads in other legislatures.

Trump's victory was solid and convincing, said Barry Burden, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin. Yet the 2024 elections did not provide widespread support for the Republican Party. Many Republicans rejected in the election did not perform as well as Trump.

So far in this century, elections have not only been close, but they have also swung between parties. Since 2000, control of the presidency, the Senate or the House has shifted 16 times in 13 electoral cycles.

If this trend continues, Democrats could be in a good position for the 2026 midterm elections and perhaps the 2028 presidential race.

Voters are unhappy with the state of the country, said Jack Pitney, a political scientist at Claremont McKenna College. Unless Trump abruptly shifts the national mood, Democrats have a good chance of succeeding in the 2026 midterms.

What Are The Main Benefits Of Comparing Car Insurance Quotes Online

LOS ANGELES, CA / ACCESSWIRE / June 24, 2020, / Compare-autoinsurance.Org has launched a new blog post that presents the main benefits of comparing multiple car insurance quotes. For more info and free online quotes, please visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/the-advantages-of-comparing-prices-with-car-insurance-quotes-online/ The modern society has numerous technological advantages. One important advantage is the speed at which information is sent and received. With the help of the internet, the shopping habits of many persons have drastically changed. The car insurance industry hasn't remained untouched by these changes. On the internet, drivers can compare insurance prices and find out which sellers have the best offers. View photos The advantages of comparing online car insurance quotes are the following: Online quotes can be obtained from anywhere and at any time. Unlike physical insurance agencies, websites don't have a specific schedule and they are available at any time. Drivers that have busy working schedules, can compare quotes from anywhere and at any time, even at midnight. Multiple choices. Almost all insurance providers, no matter if they are well-known brands or just local insurers, have an online presence. Online quotes will allow policyholders the chance to discover multiple insurance companies and check their prices. Drivers are no longer required to get quotes from just a few known insurance companies. Also, local and regional insurers can provide lower insurance rates for the same services. Accurate insurance estimates. Online quotes can only be accurate if the customers provide accurate and real info about their car models and driving history. Lying about past driving incidents can make the price estimates to be lower, but when dealing with an insurance company lying to them is useless. Usually, insurance companies will do research about a potential customer before granting him coverage. Online quotes can be sorted easily. Although drivers are recommended to not choose a policy just based on its price, drivers can easily sort quotes by insurance price. Using brokerage websites will allow drivers to get quotes from multiple insurers, thus making the comparison faster and easier. For additional info, money-saving tips, and free car insurance quotes, visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ Compare-autoinsurance.Org is an online provider of life, home, health, and auto insurance quotes. This website is unique because it does not simply stick to one kind of insurance provider, but brings the clients the best deals from many different online insurance carriers. In this way, clients have access to offers from multiple carriers all in one place: this website. On this site, customers have access to quotes for insurance plans from various agencies, such as local or nationwide agencies, brand names insurance companies, etc. "Online quotes can easily help drivers obtain better car insurance deals. All they have to do is to complete an online form with accurate and real info, then compare prices", said Russell Rabichev, Marketing Director of Internet Marketing Company. CONTACT: Company Name: Internet Marketing CompanyPerson for contact Name: Gurgu CPhone Number: (818) 359-3898Email: [email protected]: https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ SOURCE: Compare-autoinsurance.Org View source version on accesswire.Com:https://www.Accesswire.Com/595055/What-Are-The-Main-Benefits-Of-Comparing-Car-Insurance-Quotes-Online View photos