Politics
Chinas Xi Jinping has little to lose in this chicken game
He simultaneously prepares the Chinese people to attach themselves to difficult times while assuring them that the sky will not fall.
China is a great economy. We are strong and resilient in the face of American tariff intimidation, said a recent comment in the People every dayThe Official Journal of Chinese Communist Parties.
Chevronned Chinese observers do not expect Xi to loop.
The United States and China are locked in a chicken game like two racing cars that go directly to the other. The one who deserted first will allow himself to lose prestige and profit, said political scientist Wen Ti-Sung in an online analysis.
Arthur Kroeber, an expert in China of the Consulting Cabinet Givekal Research, said that Trump, through his ratchet rates, was actually committed to ending US trade with China.
What then comes from Beijing is almost certainly additional reprisals, both in the form of additional prices and, most likely, the extension of export controls and the targeting of more American companies for surveys on various types. At this point, China has little to lose, Kroeber said in a research note.
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America, once the bastion of free market evangelization, under Trump has adopted the cakes of economic coercion that the West has so far been more inclined to associate with Beijing in Australia and its lobster industry, knows it too well.
Where it ends is difficult to predict. From a geopolitical point of view, prevails over the world commercial assault on almost all countries, regardless of past alliances, and whether it is populated by people or penguins delivered a gift to Beijing.
He was marketing as a stability lighthouse and a partner of choice in a world of chaos focused on Trump.
The window is closed for China and the United States to have a significant material conversation or negotiation, said Hutong Research, an independent council in Beijing. China will seize this opportunity to solidify its partnerships, in particular commercial partnerships, with the rest of the world.
Even for close allies such as Australia, whose economy is strongly linked to the Chinese, calls to reassess marriage with American opinions once rejected by Hawks like Fringe, in the light of questions on the reliability of the Americas, entered the dominant current.
So much for the art of agreement.
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