Is “The Big One” soon? – The pioneer

A series of seven earthquakes recently shook East Bay. Three seven earthquakes 3.0 or higher and can all be felt at California State University, Ist Bay Hayard.

According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), CSUIB was shaken with an earthquake of 3.3 size on February 13 at 11:52 am after two minutes, at 11:54 am, an earthquake transformer of 3.2 -magnitude. The biggest earthquake on the day the campus defeated a short time before 2 pm, with a size of 3.6.

All seven earthquakes originated in Hayyard Hills, near the Hayyard error, which runs along the mission street at the bottom of the hill on which CSUIB was built.

Shelby Karancho, a CSUIB student, was working at the Entertainment and Wellness Center when the first earthquake occurred. “[I was] On the stairs. I did not feel the actual shaking, but the windows were shook and a roof also shook. I thought it was a storm of wind [at first] Because the glass shook. “

With multiple earthquakes in one day, some are concerned that an earthquake is on the horizon.

“I am concerned about the big one that will come soon because I still see news about this on the Internet and everything. Many years have passed since I last time happened,” said Matthew Nasayan, a student of Csueb, who only felt Zalazlan on that day. “I feel that it must happen soon … it can happen at any time, and we don't know when.”

Another powerful earthquake happened on Haward's mistake in 1868, with a size of 6.8, according to USGs.

A house damaged by the Hayuard earthquake in 1868 (Wikimedia Comong)

Honorary Professor Mitchell Craig of the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences in CSUEB has studied geology and geophysics for more than forty years. Hayard's error has stopped since the 1868 earthquake is normal. “The different errors are behaving differently,” says Dr. Craig. She must build enough flexible pressure before it is broken, but in the end it will break. ”

It is a common belief that smaller earthquakes can reduce pressure from errors to prevent larger earthquakes. This is somewhat true, but in the event of Hayuard's mistake, Dr. Craig participates that there is not enough seismic activity to have a great impact. “Although there are small cross earthquakes, you will need a size 2, 3S and 4s to make a difference. Don't get enough of these, anywhere enough, to relieve built stress.”

Dr. Craig does not seem to indicate that the February 13 earthquakes predicted “The Big One” in the near future. Dr. Craig said, “It may take five years from now. It may be the matter after fifty years,” Dr. Craig said.

If a huge earthquake occurred on Haward's mistake, how will the buildings work on the campus? Csueb buildings, especially the latest buildings such as the nucleus, are properly organized to withstand heavy earthquakes. “Since 2008, onwards, there has been a new generation of buildings, and those newest buildings are great. They are very strong in agricultural terms,” ​​Dr. Craig discussed.

Old buildings on campus, such as the annex and the Northern Student Union, have undergone widespread reinforcement, including the addition of steel. Meiklejohn Hall, one of the old buildings on the campus, is likely to be more likely to be more dangerous due to a large amount of bricks.

Steel is preparing at the North University Union.

To ensure your safety during the earthquake, Dr. Craig recommends to evaluate your environment, secure any heavy things that can fall on your head, and explore the idea of ​​seismic update in your home. Dr. Craig said: “If you are in a place where you will live for a while, you own it or own your family, consider re -update, especially if the house is built before the eighties.”

Dr. Craig also recommends visiting the site, did you feel it? (DYFI), a USGS project asking about the general inputs about the earthquakes from which they suffered. “It is a way for people to add their own notes to this mix,” says Dr. Craig. “This group of tools added a lot to our understanding of the effects of earthquakes in the past decade.”

The 3.9 earthquake shook the entire Gulf region on March 17. Usgs reports that the earthquake arose in Dublin, west of Calaveras error. Calaveras error participates in a direct contact with the Hayward error, which raises the possibility of larger earthquakes in the eastern Gulf.

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