Health
Coronavirus: Shielding 5% of the most vulnerable can reduce deaths by 75%, research claims
When Coronavirus With more than 40 million cases worldwide today, scientists understand how to slow the spread 24 hours a day.
Researchers at Oxford University now claim that shielding only 5% of the most vulnerable British people can reduce Covid-19 deaths by up to 75%.
In their study, the team developed a new Covid-19 risk tool using data from more than 8 million patients.
The tool revealed that the top 5% of people with predicted mortality risk account for 76% of first-wave deaths.
Meanwhile, up to 20% of people account for 94% of Covid-19 deaths, according to researchers.
Professor Julia Hippisley Cox, who led the study, said:
Since the pandemic was declared in March, the idea of a target shield has been highly debated.
Mark Woolhouse, a professor of infectious disease epidemiology at the University of Edinburgh who was not involved in the study, said: death.
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“This means that we can pre-identify a small number of people who are at significantly increased risk, more than 50 times the remaining 95%.
“This result supports the concept of target shield.
“If we find a way to protect this 5%, such as by regularly testing the closest contacts, this can make a big difference to Covid’s public health burden.”
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