Health
Flock immunity: why some think it can end a coronavirus pandemic
As the pandemic of coronaviruses spreads around the world, doctors, scientists, and government leaders also say that the spread of the virus is less threatening if the herd’s immunity is achieved. Population immunity is reached because the majority (70-90%) of a given population has become infected and recovered, or when vaccination becomes immune to an infectious disease. When that happens, the disease is less likely to spread to people who are not immune because there are not enough infectious carriers to reach them.
There are only two ways to get there. Covid-19 is a widespread vaccination that is still months away, or a widespread infection that leads to immunity.
Most doctors and experts agree that allowing Covid-19 to exterminate the population may help reach swarm immunity quickly, but overwhelms the hospital. It also means that. More people will die not only from coronaviruses, but also from other infections. That is why we are all stuck at home. The curve is flattened.
And there is the problem that we really don’t know how immunity works with this virus.
Dr. Maria Van Kerkov, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the World Health Organization (WHO), asks if people exposed to the virus become fully immune to it, and if so how long. Said it is unknown. That’s why the government should wait for a vaccine, she said.
“The WHO is looking at some preliminary results, some preliminary studies, and prepublished results, and some people will develop an immune response,” Van Kerhof said. . “I don’t know if it really gives immunity, which means it’s fully protected.”
She added that the vaccine was a better answer. “That means we have more than 130 developers, scientists, and companies coming together these days, and they’re willing to work with us on a global scale to advance the vaccine.” It’s what we drive, the whole world. Waiting. “
Even if Covid-19 was caught once and people became immune to future infections, the United States did not have enough cases to approach widespread immunity.
“I don’t think we’ll reach the level of infected people, the level at which we provide the immune protection of our herd,” said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Jim Squirt from CNN on Tuesday.
“It means that it would protect exposed people, but at the community level, there would not have been enough infectious diseases to really have enough herd’s immune umbrella,” Fotti said. Said.
Why Sweden refuses lockdown
Scandinavian country restaurants, schools and playgrounds are open. Swedish Foreign Minister Anlinde said he was relying on the public to be responsible for voluntarily preventing the spread of coronaviruses, rather than following herd immune theory.
However, Swedish national epidemiologist Anderstengner claimed that herd immunity could be reached within a few weeks in the country’s capital, Stockholm.
Strategies are expensive.
The WHO states that it is “mandatory” for Sweden to take stronger steps to control the spread of the virus.
Sweden’s “curve” (the proportion of infections and deaths caused by coronaviruses) is steep compared to other European countries that have not taken stricter measures. According to data from the Johns Hopkins University, Sweden reported at least 1937 coronavirus-related deaths as of Wednesday, compared with 185 in Norway and 149 in Finland.
Promotion of antibody testing
Tests aimed at detecting coronavirus infection at the touch of a finger help public health officials to theoretically determine which part of the population is infected. Caroline Bucky, an associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard University, said Chan Public Health School.
“This will be the first true snapshot we’re dealing with,” said Cuomo.
However, scientists and doctors are skeptical about the reliability of dozens of tests on the market, because many have not been reviewed by the FDA.
Moreover, even approved tests are not 100% accurate.
The FDA has also warned that the test may lead to false negatives as antibodies may not be detected early in the infection.
CNN’s Tim Lister, Sebastian Shukla, Nina dos Santos, Paula Hancocks, Yoonjung Seo, Julia Hollingsworth, Mallory Simon, Gina Yu, Curt Devine, Drew Griffin, Nelli Black, Scott Bronstein, Kristina Sgueglia, Augie Martin, Sanjay Gupta.
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