Remaining summer forecast

The rest of summer should be warmer than average. Summer rainfall is always highly variable, but overall average rainfall is expected.

The first week of July was as warm in Grand Rapids (average temperature 79.4°) as it was in Mobile, Alabama (79.8°). We’ve had the most sunshine in June so far, above average sunshine, warmer than average temperature, and less windy, bringing water temperatures close to record levels (Tuesday, South Haven Buoy and surface water). The surface water temperature reached 83° inland.) The temperature of inland Reed Lake reached 85°C.

Meteorology on June 1 Rain has been below average in most areas since the beginning of the summer. The Grand Rapids has been raining 2.86 inches since June 1, with an average of 1.74 inches. Kalamazoo has 2.22 inches with an average of 2.07 inches. Despite the following average rainfall, many rivers are still just above average discharge. When entered, the Grand Rapids Grand River flow rate is 2,930 cubic feet per second compared to a 7/8 average flow rate of 2,590 cfs. Radar photo. The above is from heavy thunderstorms to heavy thunderstorms that caused a significant amount of wind damage in South Lower Michigan on June 10th.

Also, despite the dry pattern, there isn’t a big drought in Michigan because of the cool and damp pattern we had for most of spring. This map will be updated tomorrow (Thursday, July 9th). Much of the “corn belt” and growing regions east of the Rocky Mountains have ample soil moisture. Many western crops (apples in Washington, vegetables in California) are irrigated.

The above figure is from GR National Weather Service. During warmer winters, average temperatures over the next summer are likely to exceed 90 degrees. This is what’s happening this summer and this time around Muskegon and the lakeshore. This is due to the warmer waters of Lake Michigan and sometimes to the west of Muskegon Airport, the effects of the lake keeping it cool.

The 90 degree days in Grand Rapids vary considerably from year to year. The average is 9, but it has changed from none (1951 & 2014) to 37 (1988). Up to 10 people this year. I think it’s a good opportunity to reach more than 20 people.

This is the latest map showing the abnormal sea surface temperature (difference from the average). The yellow, orange, and red areas are warmer than average, and the blue areas are colder than average. Beware of warmer water than the average water in the “hurricane area” from Africa to Florida. This favors above-average hurricanes falling in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico this summer.

Then look for water temperatures below the average water temperature along the equator in western South America (and western Africa). Here, the wind becomes stronger and cold water is stirred under the water. This is called “La Nina”. The typical La Niña meanings for the following winter are:

This alone will be at least a bit cooler and snowier next winter than last year in Lower Michigan. It’s too early to forecast winter. Usually done in late October.

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