Fall Covid numbers peak at low levels, but flu cases are on the rise | Coronavirus

UK’s current wave of Covid-19 cases appears to be peaking at lower levels than previous outbreaks Omicron variant sick, the researchers revealed.

The news is encouraging, but scientists warn that another wave of the disease could sweep the country by the end of the year. increase.

Covid cases have plateaued or declined in five of nine UK territories, as well as Northern Ireland and Scotland, according to an ONS survey last week. had the lowest rate.

The number of patients aged 50-69 is still increasing, but the number of patients aged 70 and over is declining. “Hopefully that’s reflected in the reduction in hospitalizations soon,” Woolhouse said.

But if the short-term prospects of averting a new wave of Covid-19 cases look fairly promising, long-term projections are less reassuring because of the associated uncertainties, said Professor Andrew Lee of the University of Sheffield. , “The problem is that there are currently about 300 Covid-19 subspecies.” At the same time, different populations have different levels of immunity to Covid-19. It’s very difficult to predict how waves will behave.”

Scientists also warn that the country could face a parallel flu epidemic this winter. This was lifted last week when it was revealed that there was an increase in flu cases in England, but overall levels are relatively low.

But these fears were allayed by Professor Francois Barou of University College London. “One of the good news, he said, is that the currently administered influenza vaccine for him turned out to be a very good match for the strain that started circulating in the population, which means it provided adequate protection. and hospitalization should be reduced.”

Predictions about future outbreaks of diseases such as Covid and influenza should be treated with caution, Woolhouse added. predicted that a truly gigantic wave of the disease would sweep England in the fall.

Instead, the country was hit by an entirely new subspecies, Omicron, which affected an unprecedented number of people last winter. Since then, new variants of Omicron have emerged and these have been in circulation with one version of him, Omicron BA 2.75.2, and are considered a serious potential threat. “But it’s still relatively rare in the UK,” added Woolhouse.

Nonetheless, scientists acknowledge that the risk of entirely new variants with severe effects on virulence could emerge at any moment. “Governments can ride the wave as long as they don’t overwhelm the virus,” Lee added. And it definitely remains a risk.”

Baloo told The Observer that the potential emergence of deadly new strains remains a top concern for scientists, requiring constant surveillance by health officials and doctors. “But unless something terrible happens and a deadly new strain emerges, things should be better with Covid than they were last winter or the winter before,” he said.

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