Expected births of millions of missing women in India over the next decade

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Between 2017 and 2030, India may record an estimated 6.8 million fewer female births than expected without practices such as gender-selective abortion.

The sex ratio at birth in India-male to female birth ratio-has been disproportionate since the 1970s, mainly due to an increase in families Choose to abort a female fetus The goal is to have a son instead.

Fengqing Chao and his colleagues at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Twar, Saudi Arabia, and their colleagues wanted to investigate how this trend could affect the Indian population.

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Chao and her team modeled sex ratios at birth in 29 Indian states and territories covering more than 98% of the country’s population. They looked at birth data and national survey data on people’s preference for having sons and daughters.

The model predicts that between 2017 and 2030, 6.8 million female births across India will be lost. Sex-selective abortion.. The forecast started in 2017, as this is the year after the latest birth data.

The United Nations predicts India will overtake China and become the world’s most populous country during that time, so India’s missing female births could have a significant impact on global sex ratios over the next decade. There is.

Researchers found their model predicting that the preference for having a son was the strongest in northern India and that the highest deficits in female births occur in northern Uttar Pradesh.

Identifying the regions with the highest predictive bias in sex ratio at birth can minimize miscarriage of a female fetus, for example by allowing more precise targeting of policies. campaign Chao says it was aimed at prevention.

See journal: PLOS ONE , DOI: 10.1371 / journal.pone.0236673

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